Reds beat writer for Cincinnati Enquirer, co-host Cubs #ReKap podcast; formerly with Chicago Sun-Times. @GDubMLB
During a recent conversation about long-term contract extensions for young players, a baseball insider on the player-relations side of the business mused about how much potential earnings some of those players give up.
In other words, they all tend to be bad contracts.
What about David Bote, the insider was asked, eliciting a pause.
“My point is that for a bad player, extensions work out great,” the insider said. “How many teams offer bad players extensions?”
Whether that was an intentional reference to the Cubs and then-president Theo Epstein, it’s at least an illustration, by extension, of where the Cubs find themselves with one of the most underperforming payrolls in baseball.
With all due respect to Bote, maybe he’ll deliver in a big way on his 2018 rookie promise and contribute to a playoff run. Maybe he’ll at least help stabilize the Cubs’ far-too-troublesome third base issues.
But if his callup Sunday for the first time since he and his $15 million contract were waived off the 40-man roster in 2022 wa considered an answer for these Cubs this year, then Epstein’s successor, Jed Hoyer, has a lot more pressing questions to answer before he’s done.
And that might be sooner rather than later at this rate, if ownership decides to demonstrate the spine to start holding executives accountable, like they’ve promised they do for more than a decade.
And that’s the point for a team that needed late-inning comebacks to survive both byes this week against the awful White Sox and claw back to .500 with 100 games to play.
A team that is supposed to be a playoff team. In a season measured by million-dollar promises and a $230 million payroll.
Promises measured by the lofty prices charged to a fan base still looking for its first playoff win in eight years — its first playoff appearance without the help of a pandemic-shortened season in six.
And counting.
As in tick, tock and Oh-fer Jed.
Until those comebacks against one of the worst teams in major league history the Cubs hadn’t won a series in the last six tries, which raised the obvious question about whether they might be forced to consider selling at the trade deadline if it continued much longer.
But that’s the thing.
As esteemed beat man Patrick Mooney, the longest tenured writer on the Cubs beat, pointed out in a piece this week, that’s almost as impossible as it is undesirable for Hoyer and his front office team — because of the low value/high salaries of some of the would-be selloff pieces and greater value to the team long-term of the handful of club-controlled players with high trade value.
It’s not the most enviable position for any executive to face this time of year with a club that could go either way in June — much less the big-market, Chicago freaking Cubs, who must demonstrate at least incremental progress over last year’s near miss of the playoffs to keep selling their not-quite-all-in, eye-on-an-undetermined-future plan for winning in October.
On the eve of the Sox series Hoyer pointed out that until that monthlong skid, the Cubs had a good April in which they scored more runs than recent weeks and were among the league’s offensive team leaders (if still suffering from bullpen deficits).
“So I do believe we’ve already shown that it’s in there,” Hoyer said in Mooney’s piece in The Athletic. “It’s just a matter of getting it out. So, yeah, I expect us to play better.”
Obviously, that’s about all he can do or say at this point.
That and add some of the help at the deadline that we all knew this team needed during the winter and didn’t get.
Specifically, bullpen help. And, sure, go get slugger Pete Alonso from the Mets if you’re willing to outbid the four or five (or more) other teams that figure to pursue him seriously.
This is the second year in a row Hoyer and GM Carter Hawkins whiffed on putting together a playoff-caliber bullpen (turns out even a $40 million manager can’t fix ugly).
And rolling essentially the same team out there in 2024 that won 83 games in 2023 has them on pace for *checks math on .500 record* two fewer wins.
They have one more chance in a trade market that figures to be furious and fraught with high prices. Last year’s market told us that much. And this year’s vast array of middleweight, would-be contenders for that recently expanded playoff field suggest the prices might be higher than last year.
They have to pay the price this year. They have to do better than Jose Cuas this time.
If it helps spur a more aggressive approach than the risk-averse Hoyer’s track record suggests, then maybe they can think of guys like Ben Brown (for David Robertson) and Hayden Wesneski (Scott Effross) as recent trade-deadline wins in the bank from when they were selling their own veteran relievers for prospects.
But the spotlight is on Hoyer. And the pressure should be, too.
If the Cubs fall short in September because the front office doesn’t get the job done in July, it’s hard to imagine spinning a sales pitch that makes another close call down the stretch sound reasonable. Or acceptable.
Not to the fans. And maybe this time not even to an ownership that has been complicit with the not-quite-all-in, cash-conscious approach since the pandemic and their ill-timed Marquee Network launch.
It’s long past time for better results. October results.
Hoyer and Epstein combined to fire five managers in the 13 years since taking over Cubs baseball operations.
They can’t blame it on the manager this year if they don’t reach expectations. Hell, even if Craig Counsell did screw it up, that would be on the guy who was so eager to give him biggest manager contract in history that the Cubs are paying two managers this year.
So Hoyer should be acting in the next several weeks like his job depends on his trade-deadline performance.
Because it should.
